An expected scenario concurrent with Bassiouni’s report

محروم.كوم · #1 11-10-2011, 11:10 PM

The following information is not directed to distortion or treachery, or to foment sedition among us, but to prepare for the upcoming events and rapid changes to come where we will not be able to slow down and think while in the midst of all.

This happened in the days of the charter (2000-2001) – especially when accompanied by a wave of joy and breakthroughs at the political level. For that, let us slow down and think before they have the chance to see through our attitude and actions if this scenario is to happen.

I lay before you the following information for you to grasp what you need and forget about it if it doesn’t make sense to you, but view it with your mind and not your heart to see what I mean.

What I got from information is not mine to claim, but received and heard from private and different sources, it was bluntly said to me that there will be a coming settlement between Al-Khalifa and the opposition (Societies) and the proof that there is a future settlement to come is the confidential dialogues that happen behind closed doors between the opposition and the regime (Of course denied by both parties, will come to that point later) and Bassiouni’s report being postponed for a whole month (to plot the report in a believable way) and to make it more reasonable as a starting point for the coming settlement and then came the foreign minister of the United states speech in its sharp tone towards the necessity of reform in Bahrain and Saudi all to prelude for the coming Bassiouni report in couple weeks and the settlement to contaminate the revolution of Bahrain by the United states just like they tried doing the same in Tunisia and Egypt, after the bitter criticism of double standards of Washington’s policies in its great interests and clearly ignoring the demands of the people in Bahrain, in addition not to forget the need to calm the scenes in Bahrain for the coming month to receive the American soldiers after their withdrawal from Iraq.

I’m laying this information to the people so that they do not get surprised with the settlement and in order for this not to go unnoticed by the people like it happened in the case of “The National Action Charter” back in 2001. This settlement will be accompanied by a very large media coverage and campaigns of the United States and the international community where it has already started with Clinton’s remarks about the situation in Bahrain and it would continue happening up until Bassiouni’s report which will cause a controversy when released.

I do not tend to point treachery fingers toward the opposition societies because they want to have a dialogue or went to dialogue, the principle of dialogue was revealed by the societies from the beginning, a serious dialogue with fruitful results that will satisfy the ambition and demands of the people of Bahrain that was a dialogue.

This alleged dialogue, which I believe will not be in the interest of the opposition for they have less to pressure the ruling family, in which they have the upper hand in this flawed settlement.

This alleged dialogue might be secretly happening behind closed doors, but this is customary among politicians for the success of any settlement, to prevent any interference by any external parties to influence any side to ensure the success of the alleged dialogue. Denying the societies the occurrence of this alleged dialogue is taken from such basis.

In this alleged dialogue, we got the ruling family on one side and the opposition on another, under the supervision of the United States. With no mentioning of the existence of marginal societies, such as the national unity where they are accounted to be sided with the ruling family from the beginning and this explains the stands and angers the national unity is expressing for the past while.

As for the opinions of the leaders behind bars, it has been circulating that Mr. Jawad Fairouz was sent to prison to meet with the political figures to review the “Manama Document” in which with all due respect to Mr. Jawad Fairouz, denied it yesterday. Yet the letter delivered from Mr. AbdelWahab Hussain today, shows otherwise. Needless to say, assuming that the leaders did agree to the document brought to them by Mr. Jawad, and at the same time told their families that they will not declare any opinion while they are behind bars (Taken from the letter by Mr. Abdulwahab), and this is what brings the two reports in the this topic.

The story begins on the 23rd of November, The day that Bassiouni presents his report to the king, where he exonerate the head of the regime and the ruling family of the crimes pointed at them, and cast the blame on security officials and junior officers as a sacrifice.
The United States will back and support this report and ask the king for his repairs, as well as putting the pressure on the political societies to engage in this alleged dialogue, Then the regime (as if they had just learned the size of the violations and crimes) calls for dialogue (a serious dialogue) and national reconciliation.

The opposition will enter the dialogue with fewer demands than the government, which weakens the balance of the opposition, because any concession to the opposition for any item in the “Manama document” means the opposition has blown it.

They will circumvent the demand of the elected government, where the King will nominate 3 candidates to the position of Prime Minister, and the Parliament will be given the choice to pick from those 3. Given that the 3 nominated men are from the regime, the government will be elected on the level of the royal family, and will reject the demand of the elected government the political societies wanted.

There will be many temptations offered with this settlement from releasing prisoners, the return of expelled for their actions, to withdraw the security of the street, an election, a legislative authority consisting of one elected chamber, the wage increase, resolving the problem of unemployment and housing, and other, but there will be no strategic solution to the issue to prevent the recurrence of these problems if repeated in the future.

Finally, the outcome will be just like the resulted phase of 2001. But worse compared to the size of the victims, crimes and genocide, and the response will be in the street, not forgetting the stand of Feb. 14 Youth from that settlement, either accepting the settlement, which is unlikely to happen, or reject it, or there is where the split will happen.

The settlement is not more than a tricky-solution where it transforms us back to the era before the 14th of Feb.
In addition, this alleged settlement does not resolve the dilemma of “Naturalization” and does not answer the problematic role of the “non-national” Army that is being used as a threatening and enforcement instrument in the hands of the ruling family. The main aim of this settlement is to legitimize all the events and reactions of the security forces that were controlled and directed by the Ruling Family, which has a history in containing uprisings, rebellions, and upheaval among Bahrain’s history.

This information, analysis and scenarios are not intended for treason the societies but to enlighten the minds, and prepare us for any new trick up the ruling family sleeve, I hope to be wrong, but if it’s correct, we should be aware and prepared for them. __DEFINE_LIKE_SHARE__

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